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Qual 282018 Istanbul Regional
Red203
7296106.5
7293126.0
729497.4
Blue207
6038129.7
7140150.5
7290104.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1923270100300400500600203207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7293
#20
126.03.0
107.3→110.3
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End17.5
blue by 24.5
7140
#4
150.57.9
113.9→121.8
Auto15.3
Teleop109.0
End28.5
Second
7296
#18
106.52.9
95.0→97.9
Auto14.1
Teleop83.0
End5.7
blue by 23.2
6038
#6
129.73.3
109.7→113.0
Auto14.4
Teleop98.8
End19.1
Third
7294
#32
97.41.1
92.7→93.8
Auto11.5
Teleop76.9
End11.5
blue by 6.6
7290
#34
104.02.9
107.6→110.5
Auto15.4
Teleop80.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed