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Qual 292018 Istanbul Regional
Red156
7035106.6
6014129.0
5558100.5
Blue181
7071107.0
7295110.6
6303101.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2212700100300400500156181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6014
#8
129.06.9
98.9→105.8
Auto15.2
Teleop100.3
End14.7
red by 18.4
7295
#21
110.62.0
104.2→106.2
Auto13.4
Teleop89.9
End8.4
Second
7035
#19
106.60.7
102.1→102.7
Auto13.5
Teleop91.6
End-0.7
blue by 0.4
7071
#10
107.05.2
98.8→104.0
Auto14.6
Teleop88.3
End6.1
Third
5558
#33
100.50.8
94.3→93.6
Auto11.8
Teleop77.5
End11.0
blue by 0.5
6303
#13
101.02.4
90.9→93.3
Auto13.6
Teleop81.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed