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Red112
3646162.5
729298.2
7086122.5
Blue342
7140150.5
4191120.7
6014129.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320247100200400500112342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.57.0
148.6155.5
Auto24.6
Teleop117.2
End20.0
red by 12.0
150.54.0
126.8130.8
Auto15.3
Teleop109.0
End28.5
Second
7086
#12
122.55.4
115.4120.8
Auto12.4
Teleop94.6
End17.1
blue by 6.5
129.03.5
111.0114.4
Auto15.2
Teleop100.3
End14.7
Third
7292
#37
98.21.2
106.2107.4
Auto12.8
Teleop78.2
End4.9
blue by 22.5
120.70.1
107.4107.3
Auto11.4
Teleop98.1
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed