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Qual 422018 Istanbul Regional
Red321
6429180.0
7290104.0
683896.5
Blue214
6985150.2
5655109.1
729497.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273268150200250300350400321214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6429
#1
180.07.0
149.2→156.2
Auto25.2
Teleop138.2
End15.2
red by 29.8
6985
#3
150.25.8
121.6→127.4
Auto21.1
Teleop112.4
End17.4
Second
7290
#34
104.00.3
112.1→111.8
Auto15.4
Teleop80.8
End5.4
blue by 5.1
5655
#28
109.12.5
107.1→109.6
Auto13.6
Teleop90.6
End4.0
Third
6838
#22
96.52.2
94.0→91.9
Auto15.0
Teleop79.3
End2.7
blue by 0.9
7294
#32
97.41.6
93.8→95.4
Auto11.5
Teleop76.9
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed