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Red182
6064101.2
729195.9
7140150.5
Blue302
707095.4
6429180.0
7293126.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2173320100300400500600182302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.53.3
141.9145.2
Auto15.3
Teleop109.0
End28.5
blue by 29.5
180.02.8
171.9174.7
Auto25.2
Teleop138.2
End15.2
Second
6064
#29
101.21.8
104.0102.2
Auto15.6
Teleop80.4
End3.2
blue by 24.8
7293
#20
126.01.5
121.3122.8
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End17.5
Third
7291
#26
95.90.7
96.896.1
Auto13.8
Teleop74.4
End8.3
red by 0.5
7070
#11
95.40.3
95.795.5
Auto14.5
Teleop78.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed