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Red234
729497.4
7086122.5
7010112.7
Blue497
6985150.2
3646162.5
7297104.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1903580100300400500600234497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7086
#12
122.50.2
121.6121.5
Auto12.4
Teleop94.6
End17.1
blue by 40.0
162.51.4
158.8160.3
Auto24.6
Teleop117.2
End20.0
Second
7010
#14
112.72.0
107.6109.6
Auto12.6
Teleop84.4
End19.8
blue by 37.5
150.23.0
138.3141.3
Auto21.1
Teleop112.4
End17.4
Third
7294
#32
97.40.9
98.297.3
Auto11.5
Teleop76.9
End11.5
blue by 6.9
104.30.8
104.0103.2
Auto11.9
Teleop84.7
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
5%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed