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Qual 682018 Istanbul Regional
Red319
6038129.7
722895.3
6436111.7
Blue209
6697115.3
7290104.0
6014129.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2392730100200300400500600319209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6038
#6
129.71.6
124.1→125.7
Auto14.4
Teleop98.8
End19.1
red by 0.7
6014
#8
129.02.8
124.1→127.0
Auto15.2
Teleop100.3
End14.7
Second
6436
#25
111.70.6
111.9→111.3
Auto14.9
Teleop89.0
End9.3
blue by 3.6
6697
#15
115.31.3
112.9→114.3
Auto14.2
Teleop85.6
End16.8
Third
7228
#36
95.30.4
94.6→94.2
Auto13.2
Teleop75.6
End9.8
blue by 8.7
7290
#34
104.02.3
107.9→105.6
Auto15.4
Teleop80.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed