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Red471
2642207.1
2557192.6
2122217.0
Blue261
5584184.2
5449135.4
364197.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4502820100200400500600471261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217.01.0
220.8219.8
Auto24.5
Teleop155.4
End34.3
red by 19.8
364
#23
197.20.9
199.2198.3
Auto24.0
Teleop145.8
End24.7
Second
2642
#25
207.10.5
209.4209.0
Auto20.7
Teleop157.2
End25.6
red by 22.9
5584
#19
184.20.6
183.6184.2
Auto24.4
Teleop128.4
End31.3
Third
192.60.3
192.1192.4
Auto20.7
Teleop143.9
End28.5
red by 57.2
5449
#48
135.40.4
135.8135.4
Auto18.4
Teleop108.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
89%Face the Boss oddsEarned11%Face the Boss oddsMissed