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Red199
706393.3
4627124.2
2655176.8
Blue470
842206.5
4941157.4
2046212.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1714680100300400500600700199470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2655
#55
176.80.6
178.4177.8
Auto24.6
Teleop135.5
End17.0
blue by 35.4
2046
#41
212.30.6
210.9211.5
Auto22.6
Teleop166.9
End20.0
Second
4627
#62
124.20.5
125.6125.0
Auto17.7
Teleop91.9
End11.8
blue by 82.4
842
#7
206.50.8
203.6204.4
Auto25.8
Teleop158.0
End20.5
Third
7063
#66
93.30.7
94.093.3
Auto14.9
Teleop68.7
End5.1
blue by 64.0
4941
#60
157.40.4
157.9157.4
Auto17.7
Teleop122.9
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed