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Red357
6941126.7
1744147.1
4146162.4
Blue165
4189159.2
5818191.5
7057108.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2683390100200300400500357165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#12
162.40.1
162.5162.4
Auto18.3
Teleop121.8
End21.5
blue by 29.1
191.51.8
189.6191.4
Auto22.8
Teleop142.3
End25.6
Second
1744
#51
147.11.5
148.6147.1
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End12.4
blue by 12.2
4189
#24
159.20.0
159.3159.2
Auto20.5
Teleop121.1
End15.2
Third
6941
#36
126.71.0
127.7126.7
Auto19.2
Teleop96.4
End7.7
red by 18.1
7057
#67
108.60.4
108.2108.6
Auto15.5
Teleop84.2
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed