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Red264
7287149.3
4698143.7
2059211.0
Blue393
3512192.5
1806185.3
1296162.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313424100200500600700264393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#21
211.00.0
210.9211.0
Auto24.8
Teleop171.1
End13.8
red by 18.4
192.51.8
189.4191.2
Auto18.1
Teleop141.0
End31.4
Second
7287
#44
149.30.2
149.1149.3
Auto21.1
Teleop105.9
End20.3
blue by 35.9
185.31.6
181.5183.2
Auto21.5
Teleop140.6
End24.2
Third
4698
#42
143.70.1
143.8143.7
Auto16.0
Teleop107.3
End19.7
blue by 18.6
1296
#45
162.30.7
163.1162.4
Auto19.0
Teleop127.2
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed26%Face the Boss oddsMissed