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Red422
364197.2
1296162.3
6941126.7
Blue338
2655176.8
5908119.0
4603149.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381293100200500600700422338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#23
197.21.3
193.8195.2
Auto24.0
Teleop145.8
End24.7
red by 20.4
2655
#55
176.80.9
183.3182.4
Auto24.6
Teleop135.5
End17.0
Second
1296
#45
162.31.3
167.5166.2
Auto19.0
Teleop127.2
End17.2
red by 12.7
4603
#57
149.61.0
148.4149.4
Auto16.3
Teleop120.2
End12.6
Third
6941
#36
126.70.9
128.1127.2
Auto19.2
Teleop96.4
End7.7
red by 7.7
5908
#65
119.00.1
120.5120.4
Auto17.2
Teleop90.8
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed