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Red276
2471201.5
7079145.9
5449135.4
Blue284
6888119.1
4561192.2
1538197.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324356200400500600276284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#14
201.50.6
203.8204.4
Auto21.4
Teleop145.8
End32.5
red by 4.4
197.20.2
202.6202.4
Auto21.1
Teleop153.9
End25.1
Second
7079
#52
145.90.6
148.9148.3
Auto17.4
Teleop109.5
End21.0
blue by 46.3
4561
#27
192.20.0
199.6199.6
Auto21.6
Teleop143.6
End21.3
Third
5449
#48
135.40.7
145.9145.2
Auto18.4
Teleop108.4
End6.5
red by 16.3
6888
#59
119.11.4
112.0113.4
Auto17.1
Teleop94.7
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed