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Red225
682295.3
5522146.5
2478175.6
Blue459
4146162.4
360168.5
987190.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2654140100200300500600700800225459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#20
175.61.7
166.9168.5
Auto21.6
Teleop130.3
End24.7
blue by 14.9
987
#3
190.51.0
179.6180.6
Auto22.2
Teleop136.0
End32.9
Second
5522
#53
146.51.9
143.5145.4
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
blue by 22.0
360
#34
168.50.5
179.3178.8
Auto23.9
Teleop129.3
End15.4
Third
6822
#47
95.30.5
97.598.0
Auto15.2
Teleop75.7
End7.7
blue by 67.1
4146
#12
162.41.1
159.3160.3
Auto18.3
Teleop121.8
End21.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsEarned