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Red226
3847171.0
7179155.7
4627124.2
Blue438
2130183.1
5453163.7
3663169.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2854050100200500600226438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#11
171.01.3
168.8170.1
Auto24.8
Teleop129.5
End19.6
blue by 12.0
2130
#30
183.10.7
181.6180.9
Auto22.3
Teleop134.2
End25.7
Second
7179
#38
155.71.5
158.9157.4
Auto18.3
Teleop116.1
End21.6
blue by 13.9
3663
#18
169.61.0
164.6165.6
Auto20.7
Teleop125.6
End22.0
Third
4627
#62
124.20.0
124.5124.5
Auto17.7
Teleop91.9
End11.8
blue by 39.5
5453
#46
163.71.2
170.7169.5
Auto18.2
Teleop130.4
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed