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Red229
706393.3
3593147.8
5986154.3
Blue352
4603149.6
1533198.7
6314115.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2683600100200300400500600700229352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5986
#31
154.30.3
150.8151.2
Auto18.6
Teleop123.6
End11.8
blue by 44.4
1533
#10
198.70.5
193.3193.8
Auto24.3
Teleop143.9
End33.3
Second
3593
#61
147.80.2
155.5155.3
Auto20.4
Teleop113.4
End12.9
blue by 1.8
4603
#57
149.61.0
144.9145.9
Auto16.3
Teleop120.2
End12.6
Third
7063
#66
93.30.5
97.297.7
Auto14.9
Teleop68.7
End5.1
blue by 21.7
6314
#39
115.01.7
123.7122.0
Auto17.6
Teleop90.7
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsMissed