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Red320
5522146.5
1318203.6
6445143.2
Blue243
1296162.3
5468150.6
5449135.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36332202006008001,0001,200320243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#16
203.60.1
202.2202.1
Auto23.3
Teleop146.6
End33.5
red by 41.3
1296
#45
162.30.2
168.9168.7
Auto19.0
Teleop127.2
End17.2
Second
5522
#53
146.50.9
145.4146.3
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
blue by 4.1
5468
#56
150.61.5
154.8156.3
Auto20.7
Teleop117.8
End9.1
Third
6445
#58
143.20.9
140.9141.8
Auto14.6
Teleop112.7
End17.3
red by 7.8
5449
#48
135.41.3
145.2143.9
Auto18.4
Teleop108.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed