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Red223
5045139.1
5449135.4
5908119.0
Blue418
2231166.4
3512192.5
120168.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304370100300400500600700800223418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5045
#29
139.10.7
132.9133.6
Auto22.6
Teleop102.3
End16.5
blue by 53.4
192.51.4
180.3181.8
Auto18.1
Teleop141.0
End31.4
Second
5449
#48
135.40.9
146.8145.9
Auto18.4
Teleop108.4
End6.5
blue by 32.7
120
#26
168.11.6
161.7163.3
Auto23.1
Teleop123.0
End23.9
Third
5908
#65
119.00.9
118.9119.8
Auto17.2
Teleop90.8
End12.7
blue by 47.4
2231
#15
166.40.9
164.0164.9
Auto23.4
Teleop135.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsEarned