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Red167
6314115.0
5453163.7
4941157.4
Blue428
987190.5
2341148.5
2557192.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2884090200600800167428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5453
#46
163.70.8
170.5171.3
Auto18.2
Teleop130.4
End15.7
blue by 28.9
192.60.9
185.4186.3
Auto20.7
Teleop143.9
End28.5
Second
4941
#60
157.40.8
163.6162.8
Auto17.7
Teleop122.9
End15.2
blue by 33.2
987
#3
190.50.6
178.9179.6
Auto22.2
Teleop136.0
End32.9
Third
6314
#39
115.01.1
126.6125.5
Auto17.6
Teleop90.7
End9.0
blue by 33.5
2341
#32
148.51.0
146.2147.1
Auto18.0
Teleop110.9
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned