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Red383
3478211.0
3512192.5
4146162.4
Blue257
5453163.7
2642207.1
987190.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374397100200300500600700383257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#13
211.00.8
206.8207.6
Auto25.7
Teleop160.7
End22.4
red by 3.9
2642
#25
207.10.0
214.5214.5
Auto20.7
Teleop157.2
End25.6
Second
192.51.2
184.3185.5
Auto18.1
Teleop141.0
End31.4
red by 2.0
987
#3
190.51.5
182.1183.6
Auto22.2
Teleop136.0
End32.9
Third
4146
#12
162.41.1
161.9163.0
Auto18.3
Teleop121.8
End21.5
blue by 1.3
5453
#46
163.70.2
170.9170.7
Auto18.2
Teleop130.4
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed