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Red318
6314115.0
568131.6
1318203.6
Blue274
4698143.7
6888119.1
3663169.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34830702006008001,0001,2001,4001,600318274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#16
203.60.2
202.1201.9
Auto23.3
Teleop146.6
End33.5
red by 34.0
3663
#18
169.61.5
163.1164.6
Auto20.7
Teleop125.6
End22.0
Second
568
#54
131.60.6
129.5130.2
Auto18.3
Teleop90.8
End24.4
blue by 12.1
4698
#42
143.71.0
147.2146.2
Auto16.0
Teleop107.3
End19.7
Third
6314
#39
115.01.1
122.0120.9
Auto17.6
Teleop90.7
End9.0
blue by 4.1
6888
#59
119.11.0
114.7115.7
Auto17.1
Teleop94.7
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed