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Red328
3663169.6
5344109.6
7287149.3
Blue504
6941126.7
120168.1
5522146.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3243670200600800328504

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#18
169.61.3
165.6166.9
Auto20.7
Teleop125.6
End22.0
red by 1.5
120
#26
168.10.5
167.3167.7
Auto23.1
Teleop123.0
End23.9
Second
7287
#44
149.30.8
144.7145.5
Auto21.1
Teleop105.9
End20.3
red by 2.8
5522
#53
146.50.6
146.8147.5
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
Third
5344
#43
109.60.9
105.9106.8
Auto14.5
Teleop86.8
End10.8
blue by 17.1
6941
#36
126.70.2
127.2127.0
Auto19.2
Teleop96.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed