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Red180
2341148.5
2231166.4
5453163.7
Blue350
364197.2
3593147.8
4698143.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356343100200300400500600180350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#15
166.40.9
167.9168.8
Auto23.4
Teleop135.4
End5.8
blue by 30.8
364
#23
197.21.7
195.2196.8
Auto24.0
Teleop145.8
End24.7
Second
5453
#46
163.70.4
169.5169.1
Auto18.2
Teleop130.4
End15.7
red by 15.9
3593
#61
147.81.3
154.9153.5
Auto20.4
Teleop113.4
End12.9
Third
2341
#32
148.50.7
149.7150.4
Auto18.0
Teleop110.9
End21.4
red by 4.8
4698
#42
143.70.2
145.2145.0
Auto16.0
Teleop107.3
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed