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Red230
2848172.4
364197.2
5522146.5
Blue371
1538197.2
2059211.0
1744147.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3113840100200500600700230371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#23
197.21.3
196.8198.2
Auto24.0
Teleop145.8
End24.7
blue by 13.7
2059
#21
211.00.3
212.0211.7
Auto24.8
Teleop171.1
End13.8
Second
2848
#35
172.40.2
179.8180.0
Auto23.6
Teleop129.5
End14.9
blue by 24.8
197.21.0
199.3198.3
Auto21.1
Teleop153.9
End25.1
Third
5522
#53
146.50.8
147.5148.2
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
blue by 0.6
1744
#51
147.11.6
155.2153.6
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed