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Red312
7179155.7
4698143.7
3478211.0
Blue337
1533198.7
2637142.7
4189159.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349352250300400450312337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#13
211.01.3
208.7210.0
Auto25.7
Teleop160.7
End22.4
red by 12.3
1533
#10
198.71.5
195.0196.5
Auto24.3
Teleop143.9
End33.3
Second
7179
#38
155.70.8
156.1155.3
Auto18.3
Teleop116.1
End21.6
blue by 3.6
4189
#24
159.20.3
161.6161.2
Auto20.5
Teleop121.1
End15.2
Third
4698
#42
143.70.2
145.0144.8
Auto16.0
Teleop107.3
End19.7
red by 1.0
2637
#64
142.71.3
147.3145.9
Auto20.8
Teleop111.7
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned18%Face the Boss oddsMissed