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Red427
1533198.7
1538197.2
3512192.5
Blue323
5344109.6
2630187.5
5584184.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4622320100300400500600700800427323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#10
198.70.9
196.5197.4
Auto24.3
Teleop143.9
End33.3
red by 11.2
2630
#17
187.50.0
185.8185.8
Auto21.2
Teleop140.8
End25.4
Second
197.21.0
198.3197.3
Auto21.1
Teleop153.9
End25.1
red by 13.0
5584
#19
184.20.3
183.5183.3
Auto24.4
Teleop128.4
End31.3
Third
192.50.5
186.9187.5
Auto18.1
Teleop141.0
End31.4
red by 82.9
5344
#43
109.60.4
107.7108.1
Auto14.5
Teleop86.8
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
58%Face the Boss oddsEarned24%Face the Boss oddsEarned