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Red126
706393.3
6445143.2
568131.6
Blue439
3478211.0
364197.2
7079145.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1744730100300400600700800126439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6445
#58
143.20.8
142.4143.1
Auto14.6
Teleop112.7
End17.3
blue by 67.8
3478
#13
211.00.9
210.0210.9
Auto25.7
Teleop160.7
End22.4
Second
568
#54
131.60.4
131.3131.7
Auto18.3
Teleop90.8
End24.4
blue by 65.6
364
#23
197.20.5
198.2198.7
Auto24.0
Teleop145.8
End24.7
Third
7063
#66
93.31.0
96.795.7
Auto14.9
Teleop68.7
End5.1
blue by 52.6
7079
#52
145.90.1
145.8145.7
Auto17.4
Teleop109.5
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed