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Red452
5986154.3
3512192.5
2637142.7
Blue297
7079145.9
2130183.1
2102152.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34932802006008001,0001,2001,400452297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.50.6
187.5188.1
Auto18.1
Teleop141.0
End31.4
red by 9.5
2130
#30
183.10.7
181.1181.8
Auto22.3
Teleop134.2
End25.7
Second
5986
#31
154.30.5
153.2153.7
Auto18.6
Teleop123.6
End11.8
red by 1.8
152.60.7
149.6150.3
Auto21.3
Teleop114.3
End17.4
Third
2637
#64
142.71.2
144.5143.3
Auto20.8
Teleop111.7
End9.4
blue by 3.2
7079
#52
145.90.0
145.7145.7
Auto17.4
Teleop109.5
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed