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Red272
1102194.1
2557192.6
2231166.4
Blue297
706393.3
2478175.6
1318203.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4152500100200300500600700272297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#49
194.12.0
201.1199.1
Auto18.3
Teleop146.9
End27.3
blue by 9.5
1318
#16
203.60.4
202.3202.6
Auto23.3
Teleop146.6
End33.5
Second
192.60.9
190.9191.7
Auto20.7
Teleop143.9
End28.5
red by 17.0
2478
#20
175.61.0
172.9174.0
Auto21.6
Teleop130.3
End24.7
Third
2231
#15
166.40.2
168.1167.9
Auto23.4
Teleop135.4
End5.8
red by 73.0
7063
#66
93.30.9
95.794.8
Auto14.9
Teleop68.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsEarned14%Face the Boss oddsMissed