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Red209
120168.1
1296162.3
4603149.6
Blue552
1538197.2
987190.5
1806185.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2454530100200300400500600700209552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#26
168.10.1
168.5168.5
Auto23.1
Teleop123.0
End23.9
blue by 29.1
197.20.6
197.3196.7
Auto21.1
Teleop153.9
End25.1
Second
1296
#45
162.31.4
165.8164.4
Auto19.0
Teleop127.2
End17.2
blue by 28.2
987
#3
190.51.2
185.3186.6
Auto22.2
Teleop136.0
End32.9
Third
4603
#57
149.60.3
150.1149.9
Auto16.3
Teleop120.2
End12.6
blue by 35.7
185.30.5
180.5181.0
Auto21.5
Teleop140.6
End24.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsEarned