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Red228
4561192.2
5522146.5
1744147.1
Blue267
3218172.2
3847171.0
4941157.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36433501,0002,0003,0004,0005,000228267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#27
192.20.3
195.0194.7
Auto21.6
Teleop143.6
End21.3
red by 20.0
3218
#28
172.21.1
176.4175.3
Auto19.1
Teleop132.2
End19.4
Second
1744
#51
147.11.4
152.1150.6
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End12.4
blue by 24.0
3847
#11
171.00.2
170.6170.8
Auto24.8
Teleop129.5
End19.6
Third
5522
#53
146.50.0
148.3148.3
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
blue by 10.9
4941
#60
157.40.3
158.7158.4
Auto17.7
Teleop122.9
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed