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Red409
5453163.7
5449135.4
842206.5
Blue253
7287149.3
4189159.2
2630187.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336344200250300400450409253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#7
206.50.6
202.0202.6
Auto25.8
Teleop158.0
End20.5
red by 19.0
2630
#17
187.50.8
186.6187.4
Auto21.2
Teleop140.8
End25.4
Second
5453
#46
163.71.2
165.5164.3
Auto18.2
Teleop130.4
End15.7
red by 4.5
4189
#24
159.20.3
160.7160.4
Auto20.5
Teleop121.1
End15.2
Third
5449
#48
135.41.2
137.5136.3
Auto18.4
Teleop108.4
End6.5
blue by 13.9
7287
#44
149.31.3
147.5148.9
Auto21.1
Teleop105.9
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed