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Red511
1806185.3
5344109.6
5818191.5
Blue308
1318203.6
2637142.7
2341148.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3583380100200300400500600700800511308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191.50.8
188.8189.6
Auto22.8
Teleop142.3
End25.6
blue by 12.1
1318
#16
203.60.5
202.6203.1
Auto23.3
Teleop146.6
End33.5
Second
185.30.6
181.0181.5
Auto21.5
Teleop140.6
End24.2
red by 36.7
2341
#32
148.50.0
148.7148.7
Auto18.0
Teleop110.9
End21.4
Third
5344
#43
109.60.4
109.2108.8
Auto14.5
Teleop86.8
End10.8
blue by 33.1
2637
#64
142.70.2
143.3143.1
Auto20.8
Teleop111.7
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed