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Red219
2231166.4
5716125.6
6314115.0
Blue445
682295.3
5584184.2
3512192.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251372100200300400500600219445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#15
166.40.5
167.9167.4
Auto23.4
Teleop135.4
End5.8
blue by 26.1
192.51.3
188.1189.4
Auto18.1
Teleop141.0
End31.4
Second
5716
#63
125.60.8
127.4126.6
Auto16.8
Teleop95.1
End10.9
blue by 58.6
5584
#19
184.20.3
183.9183.6
Auto24.4
Teleop128.4
End31.3
Third
6314
#39
115.00.9
117.0116.1
Auto17.6
Teleop90.7
End9.0
red by 19.8
6822
#47
95.30.1
94.494.5
Auto15.2
Teleop75.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed46%Face the Boss oddsEarned