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Red354
2478175.6
3218172.2
120168.1
Blue195
6131149.6
3478211.0
5986154.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340384200250300450500550354195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#20
175.61.0
174.0174.9
Auto21.6
Teleop130.3
End24.7
blue by 35.4
3478
#13
211.00.7
211.8212.5
Auto25.7
Teleop160.7
End22.4
Second
3218
#28
172.21.1
175.3174.2
Auto19.1
Teleop132.2
End19.4
red by 17.9
5986
#31
154.31.1
153.7154.8
Auto18.6
Teleop123.6
End11.8
Third
120
#26
168.10.3
168.5168.2
Auto23.1
Teleop123.0
End23.9
red by 18.5
6131
#22
149.60.0
151.0151.0
Auto20.1
Teleop103.9
End24.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsMissed82%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed