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Red427
2102152.6
3847171.0
987190.5
Blue164
6941126.7
4627124.2
2848172.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405282100200500600700427164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#3
190.51.2
186.6187.8
Auto22.2
Teleop136.0
End32.9
red by 18.2
2848
#35
172.41.0
179.7178.7
Auto23.6
Teleop129.5
End14.9
Second
3847
#11
171.00.1
170.8170.7
Auto24.8
Teleop129.5
End19.6
red by 44.4
6941
#36
126.70.0
127.6127.7
Auto19.2
Teleop96.4
End7.7
Third
152.60.4
150.3150.7
Auto21.3
Teleop114.3
End17.4
red by 28.4
4627
#62
124.20.6
125.0125.6
Auto17.7
Teleop91.9
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed