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Red329
2122217.0
4984160.0
1533198.7
Blue359
4561192.2
568131.6
842206.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3913460100200300500600700800329359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217.00.9
221.7220.8
Auto24.5
Teleop155.4
End34.3
red by 10.5
842
#7
206.50.9
202.6203.6
Auto25.8
Teleop158.0
End20.5
Second
1533
#10
198.70.6
198.3197.8
Auto24.3
Teleop143.9
End33.3
red by 6.5
4561
#27
192.21.2
194.7193.5
Auto21.6
Teleop143.6
End21.3
Third
4984
#37
160.00.8
161.6160.8
Auto17.1
Teleop113.9
End29.5
red by 28.4
568
#54
131.60.2
131.9131.7
Auto18.3
Teleop90.8
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
90%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed