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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Dallas Regional
Red210
3802154.5
2333147.1
7303113.2
Blue292
3593142.4
3355124.2
5417125.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3582600100200300400500600210292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#6
154.51.2
150.2→151.4
Auto21.1
Teleop118.7
End14.7
red by 12.1
3593
#10
142.40.6
140.5→141.1
Auto21.1
Teleop106.3
End16.1
Second
2333
#5
147.10.6
145.0→145.7
Auto18.3
Teleop114.1
End12.5
red by 21.8
5417
#55
125.30.2
125.7→125.4
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End14.0
Third
7303
#15
113.21.0
109.7→110.7
Auto17.2
Teleop87.8
End9.0
blue by 11.0
3355
#9
124.20.6
122.1→122.8
Auto17.2
Teleop97.5
End11.2