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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Dallas Regional
Red346
3802154.5
2333147.1
7303113.2
Blue311
3593142.4
3355124.2
5417125.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3522660100200300400500600346311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#6
154.51.0
151.4→152.3
Auto21.1
Teleop118.7
End14.7
red by 12.1
3593
#10
142.40.6
141.1→141.7
Auto21.1
Teleop106.3
End16.1
Second
2333
#5
147.10.5
145.7→146.1
Auto18.3
Teleop114.1
End12.5
red by 21.8
5417
#55
125.30.1
125.4→125.3
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End14.0
Third
7303
#15
113.20.8
110.7→111.5
Auto17.2
Teleop87.8
End9.0
blue by 11.0
3355
#9
124.20.7
122.8→123.4
Auto17.2
Teleop97.5
End11.2