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Qual 122018 Dallas Regional
Red227
7179135.6
3507121.0
2805119.8
Blue93
328288.6
1255112.9
6171116.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26926410015020030035040045022793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7179
#13
135.613.9
77.7→91.7
Auto14.0
Teleop108.2
End16.0
red by 18.9
6171
#53
116.77.2
98.8→106.0
Auto16.6
Teleop94.4
End6.6
Second
3507
#52
121.07.7
101.0→108.7
Auto15.8
Teleop90.7
End10.1
red by 8.2
1255
#29
112.96.9
110.2→117.0
Auto18.3
Teleop88.8
End8.8
Third
2805
#27
119.813.6
83.3→96.8
Auto16.8
Teleop91.5
End12.5
red by 31.3
3282
#41
88.610.9
68.4→79.4
Auto14.1
Teleop69.0
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed