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Qual 112018 Dallas Regional
Red238
7091110.9
5242118.2
1745116.2
Blue61
5057116.5
5431145.7
6646114.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262277010020040050060070023861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5242
#19
118.28.3
92.2→100.5
Auto14.2
Teleop93.7
End15.1
blue by 27.5
5431
#7
145.76.2
109.7→115.9
Auto19.1
Teleop103.5
End23.4
Second
1745
#51
116.210.2
91.4→101.6
Auto14.5
Teleop88.0
End11.3
blue by 0.4
5057
#45
116.512.9
80.9→93.8
Auto13.1
Teleop90.3
End16.5
Third
7091
#24
110.913.4
77.7→91.1
Auto15.0
Teleop84.8
End15.3
blue by 3.4
6646
#46
114.39.9
95.0→104.9
Auto14.4
Teleop85.7
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed