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Qual 102018 Dallas Regional
Red261
3676120.5
1477136.6
4076114.6
Blue45
6369112.5
2789114.2
7319103.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294267010020040050060070026145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#47
136.613.5
97.8→111.3
Auto14.6
Teleop107.8
End12.6
red by 22.4
2789
#36
114.217.6
60.5→78.1
Auto14.2
Teleop88.2
End7.7
Second
3676
#16
120.516.9
66.9→83.8
Auto15.0
Teleop83.5
End21.5
red by 8.0
6369
#44
112.513.6
97.1→110.6
Auto20.1
Teleop88.4
End0.3
Third
4076
#35
114.616.2
72.6→88.8
Auto12.8
Teleop86.6
End16.5
red by 11.4
7319
#33
103.225.5
103.2→77.7
Auto12.2
Teleop82.9
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed