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Qual 92018 Dallas Regional
Red25
7303113.2
675185.5
5212121.4
Blue273
6321104.1
3802154.5
3355124.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246293010020040050060070025273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5212
#23
121.416.9
66.8→83.6
Auto14.9
Teleop90.7
End17.1
blue by 33.1
3802
#6
154.514.1
92.2→106.2
Auto21.1
Teleop118.7
End14.7
Second
7303
#15
113.234.6
112.4→77.7
Auto17.2
Teleop87.8
End9.0
blue by 11.0
3355
#9
124.217.5
61.1→78.6
Auto17.2
Teleop97.5
End11.2
Third
6751
#58
85.517.6
60.7→78.3
Auto12.8
Teleop68.2
End3.8
blue by 18.6
6321
#20
104.116.7
68.6→85.3
Auto15.6
Teleop81.1
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed