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Qual 82018 Dallas Regional
Red230
5417125.3
5639111.5
5411101.4
Blue412
5682121.1
118202.5
2333147.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463410100200300400500600230412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#55
125.315.1
83.0→98.0
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End14.0
blue by 77.2
118
#2
202.59.0
141.9→150.9
Auto29.1
Teleop139.1
End35.0
Second
5639
#56
111.516.7
68.1→84.8
Auto13.1
Teleop87.4
End10.9
blue by 35.5
2333
#5
147.114.7
86.1→100.8
Auto18.3
Teleop114.1
End12.5
Third
5411
#59
101.416.5
70.4→86.9
Auto13.6
Teleop79.7
End10.8
blue by 19.6
5682
#30
121.116.9
66.6→83.5
Auto18.0
Teleop88.1
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned