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Qual 152018 Dallas Regional
Red313
3355124.2
1477136.6
7120124.2
Blue354
4206138.8
2341131.3
3802154.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2652990100200400500313354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#47
136.69.2
111.3→120.5
Auto14.6
Teleop107.8
End12.6
blue by 17.9
3802
#6
154.59.4
106.2→115.6
Auto21.1
Teleop118.7
End14.7
Second
3355
#9
124.211.6
78.6→90.2
Auto17.2
Teleop97.5
End11.2
blue by 14.6
4206
#14
138.811.8
104.0→115.8
Auto20.7
Teleop106.5
End11.2
Third
7120
#21
124.214.0
77.7→91.8
Auto14.4
Teleop101.6
End7.5
blue by 7.1
2341
#32
131.37.8
100.0→107.8
Auto17.9
Teleop99.1
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed