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Qual 162018 Dallas Regional
Red308
5775111.1
7303113.2
4192128.7
Blue144
6901108.2
5639111.5
6526107.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2382590100200300400500600700308144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#22
128.78.1
91.0→99.1
Auto18.7
Teleop103.4
End4.5
red by 17.2
5639
#56
111.511.5
84.8→96.3
Auto13.1
Teleop87.4
End10.9
Second
7303
#15
113.28.1
77.7→85.8
Auto17.2
Teleop87.8
End9.0
red by 5.0
6901
#34
108.213.4
77.7→91.1
Auto14.7
Teleop88.2
End6.9
Third
5775
#38
111.110.1
78.1→88.3
Auto15.0
Teleop89.8
End4.3
red by 3.9
6526
#25
107.29.0
68.5→77.4
Auto14.2
Teleop81.2
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed