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Red370
6655112.4
2848174.9
1296155.3
Blue262
5682121.1
3593142.4
3676120.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305278100200400500370262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.911.1
113.5124.6
Auto22.8
Teleop127.0
End24.4
red by 32.5
3593
#10
142.412.4
97.7110.1
Auto21.1
Teleop106.3
End16.1
Second
1296
#12
155.35.9
123.5129.4
Auto20.0
Teleop117.6
End17.2
red by 34.2
5682
#30
121.114.4
83.597.9
Auto18.0
Teleop88.1
End13.3
Third
6655
#17
112.48.8
83.292.0
Auto16.5
Teleop84.0
End14.7
blue by 8.1
3676
#16
120.511.5
83.895.3
Auto15.0
Teleop83.5
End21.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed