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Qual 192018 Dallas Regional
Red215
5417125.3
6369112.5
647119.2
Blue339
5212121.4
3179138.2
2789114.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022280100200400500600215339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#55
125.310.4
98.0→108.4
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End14.0
blue by 12.9
3179
#8
138.212.1
90.4→102.5
Auto19.3
Teleop102.2
End19.3
Second
647
#28
119.210.9
83.2→94.1
Auto12.8
Teleop98.0
End7.1
blue by 2.2
5212
#23
121.47.5
83.6→91.2
Auto14.9
Teleop90.7
End17.1
Third
6369
#44
112.55.7
110.6→116.3
Auto20.1
Teleop88.4
End0.3
blue by 1.7
2789
#36
114.28.5
78.1→86.6
Auto14.2
Teleop88.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed