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Qual 232018 Dallas Regional
Red136
7119101.7
1255112.9
1477136.6
Blue96
4076114.6
1745116.2
5639111.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300217010040050060013696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#47
136.67.3
120.5→127.7
Auto14.6
Teleop107.8
End12.6
red by 20.4
1745
#51
116.27.2
101.6→108.8
Auto14.5
Teleop88.0
End11.3
Second
1255
#29
112.93.1
117.0→120.1
Auto18.3
Teleop88.8
End8.8
blue by 1.7
4076
#35
114.64.0
99.9→103.9
Auto12.8
Teleop86.6
End16.5
Third
7119
#49
101.78.5
87.9→96.4
Auto15.8
Teleop82.0
End2.1
blue by 9.8
5639
#56
111.56.4
96.3→102.7
Auto13.1
Teleop87.4
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed