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Qual 242018 Dallas Regional
Red433
5431145.7
3676120.5
2848174.9
Blue155
5417125.3
3507121.0
5212121.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3182510100200400500600433155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#4
174.99.2
124.6→133.8
Auto22.8
Teleop127.0
End24.4
red by 49.6
5417
#55
125.36.4
108.4→114.8
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End14.0
Second
5431
#7
145.71.1
115.9→117.1
Auto19.1
Teleop103.5
End23.4
red by 24.3
5212
#23
121.46.9
91.2→98.0
Auto14.9
Teleop90.7
End17.1
Third
3676
#16
120.57.0
95.3→102.3
Auto15.0
Teleop83.5
End21.5
blue by 0.5
3507
#52
121.04.7
108.7→113.4
Auto15.8
Teleop90.7
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed